Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← You do not have to believe in AGI to believe in the timelines on which the United States wins the semiconductor race.
17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 1 Dec 2024 to 31 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under America
America
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under politics
politics
Everything filed under tariffs
tariffs
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: You do not have to believe in AGI to believe in the timelines on which the United States wins the semiconductor race.
You do not have to believe in AGI to believe in the timelines on which the United States wins the semiconductor race.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building fabs in America does not reduce dependence on Taiwan: without Hsinchu, TSMC's Arizona plant would stop producing within a couple of years. — tap to centre the map on it
Building fabs in America does not reduce dependence on Taiwan: without Hsinchu, TSMC's Arizona plant would stop producing within a couple of years.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Completely in-sourcing semiconductor manufacturing to the United States is possible, and it would take a decade and a trillion dollars. — tap to centre the map on it
Completely in-sourcing semiconductor manufacturing to the United States is possible, and it would take a decade and a trillion dollars.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The largest hole in America's GPU export controls was never physical smuggling but renting: ByteDance runs over 500,000 GPUs it does not own. — tap to centre the map on it
The largest hole in America's GPU export controls was never physical smuggling but renting: ByteDance runs over 500,000 GPUs it does not own.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. — tap to centre the map on it
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it
A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for.
Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it
A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it.
Last stated a year ago
15 May 2025
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's scientific trajectory can keep advancing even if political instability or economic uncertainty slows its broader progress. — tap to centre the map on it
A country's scientific trajectory can keep advancing even if political instability or economic uncertainty slows its broader progress.
Last stated 7 months ago
21 Mar 2026
TG
Tanner Greer — holds since 2026-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated a year ago
30 May 2025
GS
Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 2 years ago
14 Apr 2025
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it
A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it.
Last stated 2 years ago
1 Dec 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Last stated 2 months ago
31 Aug 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves — tap to centre the map on it
A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves
JT
Joseph Tussman — holds since c. 2000 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
You do not have to believe in AGI to believe in the timelines on which the United States wins the semiconductor race.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Read this korrent →
Same subject: America, semiconductors
Building fabs in America does not reduce dependence on Taiwan: without Hsinchu, TSMC's Arizona plant would stop producing within a couple of years.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: America, semiconductors
Completely in-sourcing semiconductor manufacturing to the United States is possible, and it would take a decade and a trillion dollars.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: America, semiconductors
The largest hole in America's GPU export controls was never physical smuggling but renting: ByteDance runs over 500,000 GPUs it does not own.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: AGI
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Alex Imas
Same subject: AGI
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Same subject: AGI
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Gary Marcus
Same subject: AGI
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Phil Trammell
Same subject: AGI
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.
Last stated 22 Mar 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Neel Nanda
Same subject: China
A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for.
Last stated 9 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Sarah Paine
Same subject: China
A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it.
Last stated 15 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Hannah Ritchie
Same subject: China
A country's scientific trajectory can keep advancing even if political instability or economic uncertainty slows its broader progress.
Last stated 21 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Tanner Greer
Same subject: tariffs
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 20 Jan 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Donald Trump
Same subject: tariffs
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated 30 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Guy Spier
Same subject: tariffs
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Last stated 14 Apr 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds John H. Cochrane
Same subject: politics
A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it.
Last stated 1 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Alice Evans
Same subject: politics
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Last stated 31 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Daniel W. Drezner
Same subject: politics
A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves
Last stated c. 2000
Holds Joseph Tussman