Underestimating near-term AI progress is itself a danger, which is why researchers should register their forecasts in public.

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• The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. DADario Amodei13 Feb 2026similar wording
• Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress. JPJakub Pachocki6 Sept 2026similar wording
• Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. SAScott Aaronson7 Sept 2008similar wording
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