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← Today's AI systems are significantly under-elicited for their ability to automate AI R&D.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 19 Dec 2023 to 27 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
Everything filed under recursive self-improvement
recursive self-improvement
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Today's AI systems are significantly under-elicited for their ability to automate AI R&D. Today's AI systems are significantly under-elicited for their ability to automate AI R&D. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI agents trained on an expert's published work can only automate a small fraction of that expert's actual job. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents trained on an expert's published work can only automate a small fraction of that expert's actual job. Last stated 10 months ago
27 Nov 2025
BG
Brendan Gregg — holds since 2025-11-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Society has catching up to do: AI is incredibly powerful and not always right, and people who argue 'but my agent said so' have not learned that yet. — tap to centre the map on it Society has catching up to do: AI is incredibly powerful and not always right, and people who argue 'but my agent said so' have not learned that yet. Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Having the very best AI model and harness does not result in better or faster execution and can slow teams down — tap to centre the map on it Having the very best AI model and harness does not result in better or faster execution and can slow teams down Last stated 2 weeks ago
19 Sept 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI models are not yet capable of developing novel offensive cyber capabilities. — tap to centre the map on it AI models are not yet capable of developing novel offensive cyber capabilities. Last stated a week ago
23 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Today's AI systems are highly capable at engineering but lack the intuitive creativity needed to be good researchers, tending toward rote, formulaic thinking. — tap to centre the map on it Today's AI systems are highly capable at engineering but lack the intuitive creativity needed to be good researchers, tending toward rote, formulaic thinking. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all. — tap to centre the map on it There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Probably nobody has yet figured out how to measure the outcomes of AI-assisted product work. — tap to centre the map on it Probably nobody has yet figured out how to measure the outcomes of AI-assisted product work. Last stated 3 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
TY
Tamar Yehoshua — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As AI systems get better at scientific research tasks, it becomes more likely they will soon be capable of improving and building themselves. — tap to centre the map on it As AI systems get better at scientific research tasks, it becomes more likely they will soon be capable of improving and building themselves. Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human parity on discovery benchmarks like DiG-bench will be reached by mid-2027, marking the point where recursive self-improvement in AI seriously kicks off. — tap to centre the map on it Human parity on discovery benchmarks like DiG-bench will be reached by mid-2027, marking the point where recursive self-improvement in AI seriously kicks off. Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago
13 May 2024
DL
Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is already inside the recursive self-improvement loop — what the labs have shipped in recent weeks shows the cycle has started. — tap to centre the map on it AI is already inside the recursive self-improvement loop — what the labs have shipped in recent weeks shows the cycle has started. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
CP
Chamath Palihapitiya — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. — tap to centre the map on it AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI self-improvement may not be powerful enough to overcome diminishing returns. — tap to centre the map on it AI self-improvement may not be powerful enough to overcome diminishing returns. Last stated 6 days ago
27 Sept 2026
RN
Ramez Naam — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Breakthroughs achieved with massive compute are typically achieved using it inefficiently. — tap to centre the map on it Breakthroughs achieved with massive compute are typically achieved using it inefficiently. Last stated 3 years ago
19 Dec 2023
SR
Sebastian Ruder — holds since 2023-12-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Solving one Olympiad problem with three days of Google's server time shows what is possible, but the approach does not scale. — tap to centre the map on it Solving one Olympiad problem with three days of Google's server time shows what is possible, but the approach does not scale. Last stated a year ago
14 Jun 2025
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are