Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Thinking forward increases the odds of causing harm, whereas thinking…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 15 Jun 2012 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under design
design
Everything filed under mathematics
mathematics
Everything filed under simplicity
simplicity
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under humility
humility Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Thinking forward increases the odds of causing harm, whereas thinking backward (inversion) is less likely to cause harm. Thinking forward increases the odds of causing harm, whereas thinking backward (inversion) is less likely to cause harm. Last stated 13 years ago
28 Oct 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The risk of succumbing to the rigor mortis of success is usually far greater than the risk of making a mistake by not considering and mitigating all possible bad outcomes up front — tap to centre the map on it The risk of succumbing to the rigor mortis of success is usually far greater than the risk of making a mistake by not considering and mitigating all possible bad outcomes up front Last stated 3 years ago
20 Jul 2023
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-07-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Second-order thinking is more deliberate than first-order thinking: it considers interactions and time, and asks "And then what?" — tap to centre the map on it Second-order thinking is more deliberate than first-order thinking: it considers interactions and time, and asks "And then what?" Last stated 10 years ago
12 Apr 2016
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2016-04-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Working a problem by inversion often forces the thinker to uncover hidden beliefs about it. — tap to centre the map on it Working a problem by inversion often forces the thinker to uncover hidden beliefs about it. Last stated 13 years ago
28 Oct 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. — tap to centre the map on it A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. Last stated 13 years ago
28 Oct 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Always try your stupid ideas when the experiment is cheap and reversible, because the one that works has no competition. — tap to centre the map on it Always try your stupid ideas when the experiment is cheap and reversible, because the one that works has no competition. Last stated 3 months ago
1 Jul 2026
KB
Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: More time is better spent avoiding obvious stupidity than trying to be brilliant, because avoiding stupidity is easier than seeking brilliance. — tap to centre the map on it More time is better spent avoiding obvious stupidity than trying to be brilliant, because avoiding stupidity is easier than seeking brilliance. Last stated 13 years ago
28 Oct 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many small steps toward disaster can carry a person too far to avoid it, because each step presents so little contrast with the present position — tap to centre the map on it Many small steps toward disaster can carry a person too far to avoid it, because each step presents so little contrast with the present position
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 2005 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A persistently rising dividend yield eventually forces capital appreciation as the market rerates the stock. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently rising dividend yield eventually forces capital appreciation as the market rerates the stock. Last stated 7 months ago
3 Mar 2026
SB
Sanjay Bakshi — holds since 2026-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved. — tap to centre the map on it A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes — tap to centre the map on it A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes Last stated 14 years ago
15 Jun 2012
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2012-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. Last stated 6 months ago
2 Apr 2026
MS
Marvin Schwaibold — holds since 2026-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. Last stated 4 months ago
26 May 2026
AM
Andy Madrick — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A browser works better as a single window than as multiple separate windows. — tap to centre the map on it A browser works better as a single window than as multiple separate windows. Last stated 3 weeks ago
15 Sept 2026
CC
Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources. — tap to centre the map on it A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources. Last stated 8 years ago
29 Sept 2018
TG
Tren Griffin — holds since 2018-09-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones. — tap to centre the map on it A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Feb 2024
AW
Adam Wiggins — holds since 2024-02-17 — tap for who they are