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← The shortage of launch capacity will get worse over the next few years, not better.
15 connected korrents · 13 moments from 4 Mar 2021 to 21 Oct 2026.
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Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: The shortage of launch capacity will get worse over the next few years, not better.
The shortage of launch capacity will get worse over the next few years, not better.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets. — tap to centre the map on it
Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A team that releases infrequently gets worse at releasing over time. — tap to centre the map on it
A team that releases infrequently gets worse at releasing over time.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
22 Sept 2026
JS
Jon Seager — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The less is invested in a system, the more rubbish gets generated into it, piling up like a landfill over the next couple of years. — tap to centre the map on it
The less is invested in a system, the more rubbish gets generated into it, piling up like a landfill over the next couple of years.
Last stated 7 months ago
10 Mar 2026
LO
Luis Ouriach — holds since 2026-03-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The healthcare situation will get much worse in the years ahead. — tap to centre the map on it
The healthcare situation will get much worse in the years ahead.
Last stated yesterday
21 Oct 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset. — tap to centre the map on it
Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI loss-of-control risk could materialize within years, not decades — tap to centre the map on it
AI loss-of-control risk could materialize within years, not decades
Last stated 3 months ago
16 Jul 2026
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2026-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done. — tap to centre the map on it
A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jan 2023
MC
Maciej Cegłowski — holds since 2023-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy. — tap to centre the map on it
A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is. — tap to centre the map on it
NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2021-03-04 — tap for who they are
CH
Casey Handmer — no longer holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries. — tap to centre the map on it
NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing. — tap to centre the map on it
NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Dual-use robotic servicing spacecraft, not missiles or lasers, will be the anti-satellite weapon of choice. — tap to centre the map on it
Dual-use robotic servicing spacecraft, not missiles or lasers, will be the anti-satellite weapon of choice.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Mar 2024
BC
Brian G. Chow — holds since 2024-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Satellites need self-defence zones: a keep-out rule around them is the only workable arms control in orbit. — tap to centre the map on it
Satellites need self-defence zones: a keep-out rule around them is the only workable arms control in orbit.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Mar 2024
BC
Brian G. Chow — holds since 2024-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know. — tap to centre the map on it
The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Mar 2024
BC
Brian G. Chow — holds since 2024-03-25 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
The shortage of launch capacity will get worse over the next few years, not better.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Eric Berger
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Eric Berger
Similar wording
A team that releases infrequently gets worse at releasing over time.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Jon Seager
Similar wording
The less is invested in a system, the more rubbish gets generated into it, piling up like a landfill over the next couple of years.
Last stated 10 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Luis Ouriach
Similar wording
The healthcare situation will get much worse in the years ahead.
Last stated 21 Oct 2026 · yesterday
Holds Paul Krugman
Similar wording
Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset.
Last stated 15 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Isaiah Taylor
Similar wording
AI loss-of-control risk could materialize within years, not decades
Last stated 16 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Miles Brundage
Same subject: space
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Casey Handmer Eric Berger
Same subject: space
A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done.
Last stated 1 Jan 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds Maciej Cegłowski
Same subject: space
A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy.
Last stated 22 Apr 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Sean Carroll
Same subject: America
NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is.
Last stated 2 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
No longer holds Casey Handmer
Same subject: America
NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries.
Last stated 2 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Casey Handmer
Same subject: America
NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing.
Last stated 2 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Casey Handmer
Same subject: war
Dual-use robotic servicing spacecraft, not missiles or lasers, will be the anti-satellite weapon of choice.
Last stated 25 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Brian G. Chow
Same subject: war
Satellites need self-defence zones: a keep-out rule around them is the only workable arms control in orbit.
Last stated 25 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Brian G. Chow
Same subject: war
The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know.
Last stated 25 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Brian G. Chow