The Federal Reserve's average inflation targeting framework is a real commitment to hold inflation near a 2% average across the 2020s, so an overshoot now has to be offset by undershoots later.

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• Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. OBOlivier Blanchard1 Jun 2022inflationinterest rates
• Central banks should hold inflation-protected bonds as primary assets JCJohn H. Cochrane1 Oct 2026inflationinterest rates
• Higher interest rates cannot durably lower inflation without a fiscal tightening to pay interest costs on the debt. JCJohn H. Cochrane19 Oct 2026inflationinterest rates
• Holding real assets should help central banks control inflation. JCJohn H. Cochrane1 Oct 2026inflationinterest rates
• Inflation could stay elevated for a while even as the Fed keeps raising rates, because of war-driven costs and AI capital spending. BCBen Carlson27 Sept 2026inflationinterest rates

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