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The direction of polling error is hard to predict because pollsters are trying to correct for past errors.
Drawn from what Nate Silver said
What Nate Silver actually said
- Nate Silver Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight
This backs up my hypothesis, which is embedded into FLIPR, that pollsters are acutely aware of past polling errors and trying to correct for them — at the risk of either under-correcting or overcorrecting — and therefore the direction of polling error is hard to predict.
Added to korrents 30 Oct 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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