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← The binding constraint on AI is not chips but the physical plant…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 2 Apr 2021 to 22 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under data centers
data centers
Everything filed under batteries
batteries
Everything filed under nuclear power
nuclear power
Everything filed under energy
energy
Everything filed under semiconductors
semiconductors
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under solar
solar
Everything filed under the cloud
the cloud
Everything filed under climate change
climate change
In tension In tension Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: The binding constraint on AI is not chips but the physical plant around them — power, transformers, cooling and networking.
The binding constraint on AI is not chips but the physical plant around them — power, transformers, cooling and networking.
Last stated 2 months ago
29 Aug 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-08-29 — tap for who they are
In tension: Data centres will end up net suppliers of power to their communities, because a solar plant big enough to keep the machines running spills most of what it makes. — tap to centre the map on it
Data centres will end up net suppliers of power to their communities, because a solar plant big enough to keep the machines running spills most of what it makes.
Last stated 10 months ago
8 Dec 2025
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-12-08 — tap for who they are
In tension: The cost of compute is the only intrinsic limit on AI self-replication; every other constraint on agents will have to be built by humans. — tap to centre the map on it
The cost of compute is the only intrinsic limit on AI self-replication; every other constraint on agents will have to be built by humans.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
DB
Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The binding constraint on the AI build-out is chips, not power, which is why not having a solar panel factory will never be on the critical path. — tap to centre the map on it
The binding constraint on the AI build-out is chips, not power, which is why not having a solar panel factory will never be on the critical path.
Last stated a year ago
15 Aug 2025
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The large-scale AI compute buildout may turn out to be a temporary phase rather than a permanent necessity. — tap to centre the map on it
The large-scale AI compute buildout may turn out to be a temporary phase rather than a permanent necessity.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
KK
Kevin Kelly — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The world can make roughly 200 gigawatts of AI chips a year by 2030, which makes a gigawatt a week a plausible quarter of the market rather than a fantasy. — tap to centre the map on it
The world can make roughly 200 gigawatts of AI chips a year by 2030, which makes a gigawatt a week a plausible quarter of the market rather than a fantasy.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The binding constraints on AI's growth are power, helium and memory — and almost nobody has noticed the helium one. — tap to centre the map on it
The binding constraints on AI's growth are power, helium and memory — and almost nobody has noticed the helium one.
Last stated 4 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The binding constraint on AI is no longer power or data centres but the semiconductor supply chain, which has by far the longest lead times. — tap to centre the map on it
The binding constraint on AI is no longer power or data centres but the semiconductor supply chain, which has by far the longest lead times.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs.
Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human brains are doing something fundamentally different from today's AI, and the evidence is that they run on roughly twenty watts. — tap to centre the map on it
Human brains are doing something fundamentally different from today's AI, and the evidence is that they run on roughly twenty watts.
Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: By the end of this decade the ceiling on AI compute is set by ASML, the lowest rung of the supply chain, and not by anything above it. — tap to centre the map on it
By the end of this decade the ceiling on AI compute is set by ASML, the lowest rung of the supply chain, and not by anything above it.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Apple's risk is being reduced to hardware: people keep buying the best phone while everything they do on it comes from someone else's model. — tap to centre the map on it
Apple's risk is being reduced to hardware: people keep buying the best phone while everything they do on it comes from someone else's model.
Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. — tap to centre the map on it
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone. — tap to centre the map on it
China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone.
Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2024-01-23 — tap for who they are
AT
Adam Tooze — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it. — tap to centre the map on it
America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset. — tap to centre the map on it
Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most of the nuclear industry is a modelling and simulation business producing paper reactors, not a business that builds them. — tap to centre the map on it
Most of the nuclear industry is a modelling and simulation business producing paper reactors, not a business that builds them.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away. — tap to centre the map on it
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Dec 2024
AF
Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are
in tension same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
The binding constraint on AI is not chips but the physical plant around them — power, transformers, cooling and networking.
Last stated 29 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Elon Musk
Read this korrent →
In tension with
Data centres will end up net suppliers of power to their communities, because a solar plant big enough to keep the machines running spills most of what it makes.
Last stated 8 Dec 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Casey Handmer
In tension with
The cost of compute is the only intrinsic limit on AI self-replication; every other constraint on agents will have to be built by humans.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Dean W. Ball
Similar wording
The binding constraint on the AI build-out is chips, not power, which is why not having a solar panel factory will never be on the critical path.
Last stated 15 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Casey Handmer
Similar wording
The large-scale AI compute buildout may turn out to be a temporary phase rather than a permanent necessity.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Kevin Kelly
Similar wording
The world can make roughly 200 gigawatts of AI chips a year by 2030, which makes a gigawatt a week a plausible quarter of the market rather than a fantasy.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Similar wording
The binding constraints on AI's growth are power, helium and memory — and almost nobody has noticed the helium one.
Last stated 18 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Lip-Bu Tan
Similar wording
The binding constraint on AI is no longer power or data centres but the semiconductor supply chain, which has by far the longest lead times.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Similar wording
AI will likely be run in the cloud rather than on native AI PCs.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds M.G. Siegler
Similar wording
Human brains are doing something fundamentally different from today's AI, and the evidence is that they run on roughly twenty watts.
Last stated 14 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Jeff Bezos
Similar wording
By the end of this decade the ceiling on AI compute is set by ASML, the lowest rung of the supply chain, and not by anything above it.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: batteries
Apple's risk is being reduced to hardware: people keep buying the best phone while everything they do on it comes from someone else's model.
Last stated 2 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Benedict Evans
Same subject: batteries
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Last stated 2 Apr 2021 · 6 years ago
Holds Bjorn Fehrm
Same subject: batteries
China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dan Wang Adam Tooze
Same subject: nuclear power
America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it.
Last stated 15 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Isaiah Taylor
Same subject: nuclear power
Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset.
Last stated 15 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Isaiah Taylor
Same subject: nuclear power
Most of the nuclear industry is a modelling and simulation business producing paper reactors, not a business that builds them.
Last stated 15 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Isaiah Taylor
Same subject: climate change
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.
Last stated 22 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Adam Frank