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← The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware:…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 6 Nov 2015 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under aviation
aviation
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under self-driving cars
self-driving cars
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under robotics
robotics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years. The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years. Last stated 4 years ago
5 Nov 2022
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. — tap to centre the map on it A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. Last stated 4 years ago
5 Nov 2022
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
AA
Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Tesla will eventually upgrade Hardware 3 cars to newer self-driving hardware, possibly for free. — tap to centre the map on it Tesla will eventually upgrade Hardware 3 cars to newer self-driving hardware, possibly for free. Last stated 2 months ago
4 Sept 2026
TY
Tynan — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s. — tap to centre the map on it Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Jan 2025
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2018-01-01 — tap for who they are
RB
Rodney Brooks — no longer holds since 2025-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. — tap to centre the map on it The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. Last stated a year ago
12 Sept 2025
SL
Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct. — tap to centre the map on it This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct. Last stated 3 months ago
31 Jul 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis. — tap to centre the map on it Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all. — tap to centre the map on it The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. Last stated 3 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. — tap to centre the map on it A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new. — tap to centre the map on it A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new. Last stated 2 months ago
4 Sept 2026
MW
Matt Webb — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
RS
Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. — tap to centre the map on it AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever. — tap to centre the map on it AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever. Last stated 6 months ago
10 Apr 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years.
Holds Read this korrent →
A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades.
Holds
There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever.
Holds
Tesla will eventually upgrade Hardware 3 cars to newer self-driving hardware, possibly for free.
Holds
Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s.
No longer holds
The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning.
Holds
This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct.
Holds
Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis.
Holds
The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all.
Holds
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Holds
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Holds
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Holds
A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists.
Holds
A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise.
Holds
A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new.
Holds
A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one.
Holds
AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement.
Holds
AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever.
Holds