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← The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware:…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 1 Jan 2018 to 3 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under self-driving cars
self-driving cars
Everything filed under aviation
aviation
Everything filed under robotics
robotics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years. The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years. Last stated 4 years ago
5 Nov 2022
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. — tap to centre the map on it A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades. Last stated 4 years ago
5 Nov 2022
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s. — tap to centre the map on it Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Jan 2025
RB
Rodney Brooks — holds since 2018-01-01 — tap for who they are
RB
Rodney Brooks — no longer holds since 2025-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Flying cars remain undeveloped mainly because people don't actually want them, not because the technology is infeasible. — tap to centre the map on it Flying cars remain undeveloped mainly because people don't actually want them, not because the technology is infeasible. Last stated 4 days ago
3 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. — tap to centre the map on it The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. Last stated 12 months ago
12 Sept 2025
SL
Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct. — tap to centre the map on it This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct. Last stated a month ago
31 Jul 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis. — tap to centre the map on it Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis. Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all. — tap to centre the map on it The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all. Last stated a month ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Robot models will reach ChatGPT-level capability within the next few years, even without a ChatGPT-style moment. — tap to centre the map on it Robot models will reach ChatGPT-level capability within the next few years, even without a ChatGPT-style moment. Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. Last stated 10 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago. — tap to centre the map on it Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago. Last stated 6 months ago
20 Mar 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving. — tap to centre the map on it Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A five-year-old's vision is already good enough to drive a car, on a tiny and strikingly undiverse amount of data. — tap to centre the map on it A five-year-old's vision is already good enough to drive a car, on a tiny and strikingly undiverse amount of data. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A good robotaxi demonstration in one city does not mean the company is ready to scale the service. — tap to centre the map on it A good robotaxi demonstration in one city does not mean the company is ready to scale the service. Last stated a year ago
8 Jul 2025
TL
Timothy B. Lee — holds since 2025-07-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A huge fleet collecting driving data is not a silver bullet for self-driving, because the data arrives unlabelled. — tap to centre the map on it A huge fleet collecting driving data is not a silver bullet for self-driving, because the data arrives unlabelled. Last stated 2 years ago
21 May 2024
TL
Timothy B. Lee — holds since 2024-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 4 days ago
3 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The air-taxi industry's forecasts are not backed by flying hardware: there are no videos of prototypes doing what the hype says will be routine within three years.
Holds RB Rodney BrooksRead this korrent →
A radically new product needs many separate technologies to arrive together, and waiting for that convergence can take decades.
Holds RB Rodney Brooks
Cars people own will double as driverless taxis when the owner is not using them, in ten major US cities, some time from the mid-2020s.
No longer holds RB Rodney Brooks
Flying cars remain undeveloped mainly because people don't actually want them, not because the technology is infeasible.
Holds
The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning.
Holds SL Sergey Levine
This is not the last moment to start a company, and the belief that the window is about to close is a recurring millenarian instinct.
Holds
Trying to anticipate what AI will look like two model releases from now is a waste of time and a route to AI psychosis.
Holds
The incumbent manufacturers will never carry aviation into a supersonic age, because they have stopped building new aeroplanes at all.
Holds BS Blake Scholl
Robot models will reach ChatGPT-level capability within the next few years, even without a ChatGPT-style moment.
Holds CF Chelsea Finn
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Holds
Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago.
Holds
Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving.
Holds
A five-year-old's vision is already good enough to drive a car, on a tiny and strikingly undiverse amount of data.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
A good robotaxi demonstration in one city does not mean the company is ready to scale the service.
Holds TL Timothy B. Lee
A huge fleet collecting driving data is not a silver bullet for self-driving, because the data arrives unlabelled.
Holds TL Timothy B. Lee
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it.
Holds ZM Zvi Mowshowitz
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds