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← Perhaps the best guarantee of peace is that major powers know no recent example of a successful war
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 27 Jul 1783 to 21 Sept 2026.
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war
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evolutionary biology
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Read this korrent: Perhaps the best guarantee of peace is that major powers know no recent example of a successful war
Perhaps the best guarantee of peace is that major powers know no recent example of a successful war
Last stated 9 years ago
23 Jun 2017
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2017-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even when war no longer pays, peace is not guaranteed, because human stupidity should never be underestimated — tap to centre the map on it
Even when war no longer pays, peace is not guaranteed, because human stupidity should never be underestimated
Last stated 9 years ago
23 Jun 2017
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2017-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Be careful wishing for a world with no war at all, because what would be required to enforce it might be worse than a little war. — tap to centre the map on it
Be careful wishing for a world with no war at all, because what would be required to enforce it might be worse than a little war.
Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: What makes a security guarantee credible is an alliance that is active in peacetime, not the wording of the treaty. — tap to centre the map on it
What makes a security guarantee credible is an alliance that is active in peacetime, not the wording of the treaty.
Last stated a year ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The world has been at its most peaceful precisely when a single power was hegemonic, which is why the arrival of a second AI superpower is dangerous. — tap to centre the map on it
The world has been at its most peaceful precisely when a single power was hegemonic, which is why the arrival of a second AI superpower is dangerous.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There never was a good war or a bad peace — tap to centre the map on it
There never was a good war or a bad peace
Last stated 243 years ago
27 Jul 1783
BF
Benjamin Franklin — holds since 1783-07-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: War cannot be morally justified unless there is high confidence its long-run effects are very good. — tap to centre the map on it
War cannot be morally justified unless there is high confidence its long-run effects are very good.
Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Large-scale international trade may sometimes serve the cause of peace but can also create the potential for conflict. — tap to centre the map on it
Large-scale international trade may sometimes serve the cause of peace but can also create the potential for conflict.
Last stated a month ago
13 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: That a pitiless war within each species is a condition of progress is unproved and unconfirmed by direct observation — tap to centre the map on it
That a pitiless war within each species is a condition of progress is unproved and unconfirmed by direct observation
PK
Peter Kropotkin — holds since c. 1902 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Last stated a year ago
30 May 2025
GS
Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America's large trade deficit in manufactured goods means fewer US manufacturing jobs than balanced trade would. — tap to centre the map on it
America's large trade deficit in manufactured goods means fewer US manufacturing jobs than balanced trade would.
Last stated 2 months ago
7 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it
A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people.
Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it
A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one.
Last stated 2 years ago
15 Oct 2024
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2024-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated 2 months ago
2 Sept 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coalition from the US and EU to Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority should take Gaza from Hamas, rebuild it and demilitarise it — tap to centre the map on it
A coalition from the US and EU to Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority should take Gaza from Hamas, rebuild it and demilitarise it
Last stated 3 years ago
12 Oct 2023
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2023-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 3 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 1783 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are