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← Even when war no longer pays, peace is not guaranteed, because human stupidity should never be underestimated
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Feb 1780 to 21 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about war .
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Read this korrent: Even when war no longer pays, peace is not guaranteed, because human stupidity should never be underestimated
Even when war no longer pays, peace is not guaranteed, because human stupidity should never be underestimated
Last stated 9 years ago
23 Jun 2017
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2017-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Perhaps the best guarantee of peace is that major powers know no recent example of a successful war — tap to centre the map on it
Perhaps the best guarantee of peace is that major powers know no recent example of a successful war
Last stated 9 years ago
23 Jun 2017
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2017-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Be careful wishing for a world with no war at all, because what would be required to enforce it might be worse than a little war. — tap to centre the map on it
Be careful wishing for a world with no war at all, because what would be required to enforce it might be worse than a little war.
Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: War cannot be morally justified unless there is high confidence its long-run effects are very good. — tap to centre the map on it
War cannot be morally justified unless there is high confidence its long-run effects are very good.
Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Enemy manipulation of a whole society's information environment is unlikely ever to be decisive in a war, because shaping another society's perceptions is genuinely hard. — tap to centre the map on it
Enemy manipulation of a whole society's information environment is unlikely ever to be decisive in a war, because shaping another society's perceptions is genuinely hard.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even successful wars eventually become misfortunes for those who unjustly started them — tap to centre the map on it
Even successful wars eventually become misfortunes for those who unjustly started them
Last stated 247 years ago
6 Feb 1780
BF
Benjamin Franklin — holds since 1780-02-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There never was a good war or a bad peace — tap to centre the map on it
There never was a good war or a bad peace
Last stated 243 years ago
27 Jul 1783
BF
Benjamin Franklin — holds since 1783-07-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The war in Ukraine will not end in a peace agreement but in an unstable frozen conflict. — tap to centre the map on it
The war in Ukraine will not end in a peace agreement but in an unstable frozen conflict.
Last stated 3 years ago
17 Nov 2023
JM
John Mearsheimer — holds since 2023-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Weighing its gains against its harms shows that an unjust peace is far better than a righteous war — tap to centre the map on it
Weighing its gains against its harms shows that an unjust peace is far better than a righteous war
DE
Desiderius Erasmus — holds since c. 1513–1515 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coalition from the US and EU to Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority should take Gaza from Hamas, rebuild it and demilitarise it — tap to centre the map on it
A coalition from the US and EU to Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority should take Gaza from Hamas, rebuild it and demilitarise it
Last stated 3 years ago
12 Oct 2023
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2023-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Last stated 3 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it
A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people.
Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it
A pro-West stance is mostly right: a world more aligned with the CCP or Russia seems a bad one.
Last stated 2 years ago
15 Oct 2024
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2024-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Last stated 2 months ago
2 Sept 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it
A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely.
Last stated 2 months ago
22 Aug 2026
JP
Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. — tap to centre the map on it
A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 Dec 2024
AL
Alon Levy — holds since 2024-12-07 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 1780 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are