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← What makes a security guarantee credible is an alliance that is active in peacetime, not the wording of the treaty.
12 connected korrents · 10 moments on record from 22 Mar 2024 to 7 Sept 2026.
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war Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: What makes a security guarantee credible is an alliance that is active in peacetime, not the wording of the treaty. What makes a security guarantee credible is an alliance that is active in peacetime, not the wording of the treaty. Last stated 11 months ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The 'coalition of the willing' for Ukraine is not a security guarantee and should stop being described as one. — tap to centre the map on it The 'coalition of the willing' for Ukraine is not a security guarantee and should stop being described as one. Last stated 11 months ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NATO's Article 5 carries no automatic obligation to fight, and it is still the gold standard for a security guarantee. — tap to centre the map on it NATO's Article 5 carries no automatic obligation to fight, and it is still the gold standard for a security guarantee. Last stated 11 months ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stated value means nothing without an apparatus that enforces it, and a company without one is lying to you however good its intentions. — tap to centre the map on it A stated value means nothing without an apparatus that enforces it, and a company without one is lying to you however good its intentions. Last stated 4 months ago
10 May 2026
ER
Eric Ries — holds since 2026-05-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American ICBMs do not have the range to reach North Korea without flying over Russia, which is the flaw that turns a limited counterattack into Armageddon. — tap to centre the map on it American ICBMs do not have the range to reach North Korea without flying over Russia, which is the flaw that turns a limited counterattack into Armageddon. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American missile defence is a fiction: 44 interceptors that work about half the time cannot answer the 1,670 warheads Russia has deployed. — tap to centre the map on it American missile defence is a fiction: 44 interceptors that work about half the time cannot answer the 1,670 warheads Russia has deployed. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. Last stated yesterday
7 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. Last stated 12 months ago
10 Sept 2025
UL
Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny fraction of ancestry can carry the most important thing about a population: Yamnaya is only a few percent of DNA in India and yet it brought the language. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny fraction of ancestry can carry the most important thing about a population: Yamnaya is only a few percent of DNA in India and yet it brought the language. Last stated 4 months ago
8 May 2026
DR
David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are