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← Launch costs are on a declining trajectory comparable to Moore's Law-driven chip cost declines in the 1990s.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 18 Sept 2014 to 1 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under space
space
Everything filed under energy
energy
Everything filed under climate change
climate change
Everything filed under data centers
data centers
Everything filed under semiconductors
semiconductors
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under design
design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Launch costs are on a declining trajectory comparable to Moore's Law-driven chip cost declines in the 1990s. Launch costs are on a declining trajectory comparable to Moore's Law-driven chip cost declines in the 1990s. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2021-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lunar mass driver cannot pay for itself by cutting launch costs, because launch is already a small part of what an orbital computer costs. — tap to centre the map on it A lunar mass driver cannot pay for itself by cutting launch costs, because launch is already a small part of what an orbital computer costs. Last stated 4 months ago
8 May 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Starship will bring the price of low Earth orbit down to roughly a hundred dollars a kilogram. — tap to centre the map on it Starship will bring the price of low Earth orbit down to roughly a hundred dollars a kilogram. Last stated 4 months ago
8 May 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Buying spare compute is cheaper than buying backup generators, because the servers cost fifty times what the generator does. — tap to centre the map on it Buying spare compute is cheaper than buying backup generators, because the servers cost fifty times what the generator does. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The same law that made chips cheaper made the factories that produce them enormously more expensive. — tap to centre the map on it The same law that made chips cheaper made the factories that produce them enormously more expensive. Last stated 2 years ago
3 May 2024
BP
Brian Potter — holds since 2024-05-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chips made on older process nodes have to get more expensive, because a new fab cannot make money selling at prices a fully depreciated fab set. — tap to centre the map on it Chips made on older process nodes have to get more expensive, because a new fab cannot make money selling at prices a fully depreciated fab set. Last stated a year ago
4 Sept 2025
DO
Doug O'Laughlin — holds since 2021-11-22 — tap for who they are
DO
Doug O'Laughlin — no longer holds since 2025-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chips are getting more expensive mainly because they take more process steps, not because the tools got dearer. — tap to centre the map on it Chips are getting more expensive mainly because they take more process steps, not because the tools got dearer. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Nov 2021
DO
Doug O'Laughlin — holds since 2021-11-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Space data centres solve the wrong problem, because the contended resource is chips rather than energy, and that will not change this decade. — tap to centre the map on it Space data centres solve the wrong problem, because the contended resource is chips rather than energy, and that will not change this decade. Last stated 6 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once launch is cheap, the engineering effort spacecraft designers spend shaving off mass buys nothing. — tap to centre the map on it Once launch is cheap, the engineering effort spacecraft designers spend shaving off mass buys nothing. Last stated 5 years ago
28 Oct 2021
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2021-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Extending consciousness beyond Earth, out to the stars, is a fundamentally good goal. — tap to centre the map on it Extending consciousness beyond Earth, out to the stars, is a fundamentally good goal. Last stated a week ago
30 Aug 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
WH
Wayne Hale — holds since 2014-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If we are serious about going to the stars we will have to adapt our bodies, because we are not going to export Earth everywhere we go. — tap to centre the map on it If we are serious about going to the stars we will have to adapt our bodies, because we are not going to export Earth everywhere we go. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets. — tap to centre the map on it Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets. Last stated 3 weeks ago
17 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Sustainable energy alone will not save humanity from extinction events; temperature-controlling satellites and large-scale geo-engineering will be needed. — tap to centre the map on it Sustainable energy alone will not save humanity from extinction events; temperature-controlling satellites and large-scale geo-engineering will be needed. Last stated a week ago
30 Aug 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away. — tap to centre the map on it A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Dec 2024
AF
Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-related cybersecurity damage over the next year or two will fall well short of the harm caused by Covid or global warming — tap to centre the map on it AI-related cybersecurity damage over the next year or two will fall well short of the harm caused by Covid or global warming Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. — tap to centre the map on it "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past. — tap to centre the map on it A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Launch costs are on a declining trajectory comparable to Moore's Law-driven chip cost declines in the 1990s.
Holds CH Casey HandmerRead this korrent →
A lunar mass driver cannot pay for itself by cutting launch costs, because launch is already a small part of what an orbital computer costs.
Holds CH Casey Handmer
Starship will bring the price of low Earth orbit down to roughly a hundred dollars a kilogram.
Holds CH Casey Handmer
Buying spare compute is cheaper than buying backup generators, because the servers cost fifty times what the generator does.
Holds AV Austin Vernon
The same law that made chips cheaper made the factories that produce them enormously more expensive.
Holds BP Brian Potter
Chips made on older process nodes have to get more expensive, because a new fab cannot make money selling at prices a fully depreciated fab set.
No longer holds DO Doug O'Laughlin
Chips are getting more expensive mainly because they take more process steps, not because the tools got dearer.
Holds DO Doug O'Laughlin
Space data centres solve the wrong problem, because the contended resource is chips rather than energy, and that will not change this decade.
Holds DP Dylan Patel
Once launch is cheap, the engineering effort spacecraft designers spend shaving off mass buys nothing.
Holds CH Casey Handmer
Extending consciousness beyond Earth, out to the stars, is a fundamentally good goal.
Holds WH Wayne Hale
If we are serious about going to the stars we will have to adapt our bodies, because we are not going to export Earth everywhere we go.
Holds MH Max Hodak
Launch is getting harder to buy even as it gets cheaper: demand for orbit has outrun the supply of rockets.
Holds EB Eric Berger
Sustainable energy alone will not save humanity from extinction events; temperature-controlling satellites and large-scale geo-engineering will be needed.
Holds
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.
Holds AF Adam Frank
AI-related cybersecurity damage over the next year or two will fall well short of the harm caused by Covid or global warming
Holds TC Tyler Cowen
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Holds CS Chris Smaje
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past.
Holds CS Chris Smaje