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← If something can be done to change the odds of an outcome, it is not…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 14 Apr 2011 to 21 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under agency
agency
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under investing
investing
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under nuclear power
nuclear power Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: If something can be done to change the odds of an outcome, it is not luck by definition; luck is what is truly outside one's control, such as where and when one is born. If something can be done to change the odds of an outcome, it is not luck by definition; luck is what is truly outside one's control, such as where and when one is born. Last stated 2 years ago
28 May 2024
MH
Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Luck is not a constant: it grows with surface area — being in the right places, having many conversations, asking for what you want. — tap to centre the map on it Luck is not a constant: it grows with surface area — being in the right places, having many conversations, asking for what you want. Last stated 3 years ago
by 27 Dec 2023
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any single bet is likely to fail, so success comes from taking many bets and trying as hard as possible at each. — tap to centre the map on it Any single bet is likely to fail, so success comes from taking many bets and trying as hard as possible at each. Last stated 3 years ago
by 27 Dec 2023
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time — tap to centre the map on it The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The world around people is completely mutable; most everything that happens is because a person made it happen. — tap to centre the map on it The world around people is completely mutable; most everything that happens is because a person made it happen. Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Sept 2026
MH
Mitchell Hashimoto — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future is not determined, and it can be navigated better by understanding the likelihood of events that could affect us. — tap to centre the map on it The future is not determined, and it can be navigated better by understanding the likelihood of events that could affect us. Last stated 8 years ago
14 May 2018
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2018-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life — tap to centre the map on it Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life Last stated 4 years ago
18 May 2022
TS
Taylor Swift — holds since 2022-05-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. — tap to centre the map on it A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. Last stated 3 weeks ago
21 Sept 2026
CC
Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard — tap to centre the map on it A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard Last stated 15 years ago
14 Apr 2011
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2011-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget — tap to centre the map on it A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago
4 Nov 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest — tap to centre the map on it A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest Last stated 2 years ago
8 Jun 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-06-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Clear, hierarchical goals turn a random walk into a chase — tap to centre the map on it Clear, hierarchical goals turn a random walk into a chase
MC
Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi — holds since c. 1996 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being a designer is amazing, and designers are no longer just designers but builders who can create whatever they envision. — tap to centre the map on it Being a designer is amazing, and designers are no longer just designers but builders who can create whatever they envision. Last stated a month ago
2 Sept 2026
ER
Evil Rabbit — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Impulsiveness in decisions can be problematic, but impulsiveness in design should be facilitated all the time: try the random thought and go down that path. — tap to centre the map on it Impulsiveness in decisions can be problematic, but impulsiveness in design should be facilitated all the time: try the random thought and go down that path. Last stated 2 months ago
29 Jul 2026
CD
Charlie Deets — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Inexperience can be harnessed to carve out a path of your own, free of how things are supposed to be — tap to centre the map on it Inexperience can be harnessed to carve out a path of your own, free of how things are supposed to be Last stated 11 years ago
27 May 2015
NP
Natalie Portman — holds since 2015-05-27 — tap for who they are
At the centre
If something can be done to change the odds of an outcome, it is not luck by definition; luck is what is truly outside one's control, such as where and when one is born.
Holds Read this korrent →
Luck is not a constant: it grows with surface area — being in the right places, having many conversations, asking for what you want.
Holds
Any single bet is likely to fail, so success comes from taking many bets and trying as hard as possible at each.
Holds
The wise bet heavily when the world offers them the odds, and not the rest of the time
Last stated c. 1994
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
The world around people is completely mutable; most everything that happens is because a person made it happen.
Holds
The future is not determined, and it can be navigated better by understanding the likelihood of events that could affect us.
Holds
Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens.
Holds
Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life
Holds
A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly.
Holds
A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard
Holds
A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget
Holds
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Holds
A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest
Holds
Clear, hierarchical goals turn a random walk into a chase
Last stated c. 1996
Holds
Being a designer is amazing, and designers are no longer just designers but builders who can create whatever they envision.
Holds
Impulsiveness in decisions can be problematic, but impulsiveness in design should be facilitated all the time: try the random thought and go down that path.
Holds
Inexperience can be harnessed to carve out a path of your own, free of how things are supposed to be
Holds