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← If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for…
15 connected korrents · 15 moments from 28 Oct 2013 to 22 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under interest rates
interest rates
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for him, weighting polls to match Trump's actual 2024 vote share inflates the size of the super-MAGA group in the electorate.
If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for him, weighting polls to match Trump's actual 2024 vote share inflates the size of the super-MAGA group in the electorate.
Last stated a week ago
22 Oct 2026
GM
G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trump says the polls are wrong not because he believes it but to set up narratives for claiming mass voter fraud on Election Day. — tap to centre the map on it
Trump says the polls are wrong not because he believes it but to set up narratives for claiming mass voter fraud on Election Day.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Oct 2026
GM
G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The MAGA political movement is falling apart, and Trump is resorting to propaganda to convince voters he is winning anyway. — tap to centre the map on it
The MAGA political movement is falling apart, and Trump is resorting to propaganda to convince voters he is winning anyway.
Last stated a month ago
25 Sept 2026
HR
Heather Cox Richardson — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Inflation Reduction Act helped lift the Democratic vote share by roughly 1.5 percentage points in 2024. — tap to centre the map on it
The Inflation Reduction Act helped lift the Democratic vote share by roughly 1.5 percentage points in 2024.
Last stated 3 months ago
5 Aug 2026
LS
Leah Stokes — holds since 2026-08-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The public mood on Trump will become even more sour after a bad midterm performance. — tap to centre the map on it
The public mood on Trump will become even more sour after a bad midterm performance.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
7 Oct 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trump's escalating erratic behavior is progressively turning away the political supporters he depends on. — tap to centre the map on it
Trump's escalating erratic behavior is progressively turning away the political supporters he depends on.
Last stated a month ago
26 Sept 2026
JM
Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The number one issue in the 2024 US election was that Donald Trump has a record of not wanting to give power back — tap to centre the map on it
The number one issue in the 2024 US election was that Donald Trump has a record of not wanting to give power back
Last stated 2 years ago
28 Oct 2024
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2024-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 7 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Adjusted for inflation, far more American families are now high-income and far fewer are low-income than in 1967. — tap to centre the map on it
Adjusted for inflation, far more American families are now high-income and far fewer are low-income than in 1967.
Last stated a month ago
16 Sept 2026
JH
Jeremy Horpedahl — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's effect on inflation is disinflationary over five to ten years but inflationary over the coming year because of chip shortages. — tap to centre the map on it
AI's effect on inflation is disinflationary over five to ten years but inflationary over the coming year because of chip shortages.
Last stated 2 months ago
7 Sept 2026
CS
Claudia Sahm — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. — tap to centre the map on it
A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only.
Last stated 13 years ago
28 Oct 2013
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works. — tap to centre the map on it
A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works.
Last stated 9 years ago
by 12 Aug 2017
JC
James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A map is not the territory it represents, but if it is correct it shares the territory's structure, which is what makes it useful. — tap to centre the map on it
A map is not the territory it represents, but if it is correct it shares the territory's structure, which is what makes it useful.
AK
Alfred Korzybski — holds since c. 1933 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can stop giving forward guidance without abandoning accountability for explaining its decisions. — tap to centre the map on it
A central bank can stop giving forward guidance without abandoning accountability for explaining its decisions.
Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
CS
Claudia Sahm — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2013 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are