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← If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for…

15 connected korrents · 15 moments from 28 Oct 2013 to 22 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under inflation inflation Everything filed under mental models mental models Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for him, weighting polls to match Trump's actual 2024 vote share inflates the size of the super-MAGA group in the electorate. If some Trump voters who have soured onhim stop saying they voted for him,weighting polls to match Trump's actual2024 vote share inflates the size of thesuper-MAGA group in the electorate. Last stated a week ago 22 Oct 2026 GM G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Trump says the polls are wrong not because he believes it but to set up narratives for claiming mass voter fraud on Election Day. — tap to centre the map on it Trump says the polls are wrong notbecause he believes it but to set upnarratives for claiming mass voterfraud on Election Day. Last stated 2 weeks ago 18 Oct 2026 GM G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: The MAGA political movement is falling apart, and Trump is resorting to propaganda to convince voters he is winning anyway. — tap to centre the map on it The MAGA political movement isfalling apart, and Trump isresorting to propaganda to convincevoters he is winning anyway. Last stated a month ago 25 Sept 2026 HR Heather Cox Richardson — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: The Inflation Reduction Act helped lift the Democratic vote share by roughly 1.5 percentage points in 2024. — tap to centre the map on it The Inflation Reduction Act helpedlift the Democratic vote share byroughly 1.5 percentage points in2024. Last stated 3 months ago 5 Aug 2026 LS Leah Stokes — holds since 2026-08-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: The public mood on Trump will become even more sour after a bad midterm performance. — tap to centre the map on it The public mood on Trump will becomeeven more sour after a bad midtermperformance. Last stated 3 weeks ago 7 Oct 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Trump's escalating erratic behavior is progressively turning away the political supporters he depends on. — tap to centre the map on it Trump's escalating erratic behavioris progressively turning away thepolitical supporters he depends on. Last stated a month ago 26 Sept 2026 JM Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: The number one issue in the 2024 US election was that Donald Trump has a record of not wanting to give power back — tap to centre the map on it The number one issue in the 2024 USelection was that Donald Trump has arecord of not wanting to give powerback Last stated 2 years ago 28 Oct 2024 YH Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2024-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer barshould be set against the bestcompanies in the industry ratherthan against its own history, whichis what makes title inflation a realcost. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Adjusted for inflation, far more American families are now high-income and far fewer are low-income than in 1967. — tap to centre the map on it Adjusted for inflation, far moreAmerican families are nowhigh-income and far fewer arelow-income than in 1967. Last stated a month ago 16 Sept 2026 JH Jeremy Horpedahl — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's effect on inflation is disinflationary over five to ten years but inflationary over the coming year because of chip shortages. — tap to centre the map on it AI's effect on inflation isdisinflationary over five to tenyears but inflationary over thecoming year because of chipshortages. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Sept 2026 CS Claudia Sahm — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. — tap to centre the map on it A difficult problem is betterthought through both forwards andbackward than in one direction only. Last stated 13 years ago 28 Oct 2013 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works. — tap to centre the map on it A few dozen mental models are enoughto get a firm grasp of how the worldworks. Last stated 9 years ago by 12 Aug 2017 JC James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A map is not the territory it represents, but if it is correct it shares the territory's structure, which is what makes it useful. — tap to centre the map on it A map is not the territory itrepresents, but if it is correct itshares the territory's structure,which is what makes it useful. AK Alfred Korzybski — holds since c. 1933 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against thefat tails it can imagine, notagainst the stress test itsregulator hands it. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can stop giving forward guidance without abandoning accountability for explaining its decisions. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can stop givingforward guidance without abandoningaccountability for explaining itsdecisions. Last stated 2 months ago 20 Aug 2026 CS Claudia Sahm — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
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At the centre If some Trump voters who have soured on him stop saying they voted for him, weighting polls to match Trump's actual 2024 vote share inflates the size of the super-MAGA group in the electorate. Last stated 22 Oct 2026 · a week ago Holds G. Elliott Morris Read this korrent →