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Getting five years of AI progress out of one year takes roughly eight years of algorithmic progress, because the compute you would have had must be made up too.

Drawn from what Ryan Greenblatt said

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What Ryan Greenblatt actually said

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  1. Ryan Greenblatt

    Chief scientist at Redwood Research

    Basically, the story would end up being that to get five years of AI progress, you're probably going to need around I would say like maybe eight years of algorithmic progress very roughly. Um, which is a lot a lot of algorithmic progress.

    Where this was said

    Watch from 0:19:05 plays here

    ↗Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com

    video · 2h 12m · spoken · machine transcript

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