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Forecasting AI capability progress is more like solving a thermodynamics equation than predicting chaotic, short-term dynamics.
Drawn from what Samuel Hammond said
What Samuel Hammond actually said
Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.
Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation
Forecasting AI capabilities is closer in kind to solving a thermodynamics equation than solving the three-body problem.
Where this was said
↗Empiricists vs. Extrapolatorssecondbest.ca
All 3 korrents from this piecethis one is 3rd
Added to korrents 18 Feb 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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