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Electric cars will not reach 30% of US sales by 2027; the forecasts that looked pessimistic in 2018 were still too optimistic.

Drawn from what Rodney Brooks said

What these subjects mean

optimism Expecting things to go well: whether it is what gets things built, or a bias that forecasts keep paying for.

electric vehicles Cars on batteries: adoption forecasts, what drag and weight cost, and what they do to oil demand.

Why be optimistic?under our view: Optimism is a bias: plans and forecasts keep running too hot

What Rodney Brooks actually said

  1. Rodney Brooks Robotics researcher, emeritus professor at MIT and former…
    Q3 2024 had the rate 8.9% so there is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic at a time when EV enthusiasts thought I was horribly pessimistic.

Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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