4 korrents from this piece · 1 of them a turn
Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.
Our reading
Actual self-driving turned out to be far harder than almost everyone believed it would be.
Their wordsActual self-driving is now generally accepted to be much harder than every one believed.
No longer holdsThis is unlikely to happen in the first half of this century.
Their words nowI got suckered by his hype.
Their wordsWaymo now has a service that looks and feels like this in San Francisco, 8 years earlier than I predicted. But it is not what every one was expecting. There are humans in the loop.
Their wordsQ3 2024 had the rate 8.9% so there is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic at a time when EV enthusiasts thought I was horribly pessimistic.