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← Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 12 Apr 2016 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under patience
patience
Everything filed under attitude change
attitude change
Everything filed under motivation
motivation
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
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humility
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under design
design
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Read this korrent: Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good.
Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You need to build early with AI to have any intuition for when the models become capable. — tap to centre the map on it
You need to build early with AI to have any intuition for when the models become capable.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
MK
Mike Krieger — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Forming an impression very quickly leads to spending the time confirming it rather than collecting evidence, so a wrong first impression is unlikely to be corrected. — tap to centre the map on it
Forming an impression very quickly leads to spending the time confirming it rather than collecting evidence, so a wrong first impression is unlikely to be corrected.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times — tap to centre the map on it
It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be. — tap to centre the map on it
People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be.
Last stated a month ago
30 Aug 2026
TS
Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. — tap to centre the map on it
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut. — tap to centre the map on it
Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Designers run through a set of subconscious rules, so product design judgement can be codified to some extent, and that is worth reaching for. — tap to centre the map on it
Designers run through a set of subconscious rules, so product design judgement can be codified to some extent, and that is worth reaching for.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
15 Sept 2026
NF
Nev Flynn — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong. — tap to centre the map on it
Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on AI would be short-sighted, giving up on the problem too early. — tap to centre the map on it
A ban on AI would be short-sighted, giving up on the problem too early.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 May 2023
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-05-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A basic rule for better decisions is to slow down, especially when there is an immediate conviction. — tap to centre the map on it
A basic rule for better decisions is to slow down, especially when there is an immediate conviction.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A choice with no immediate payoff is not necessarily a poor one: many extraordinary things come from what is first-order negative and second-order positive. — tap to centre the map on it
A choice with no immediate payoff is not necessarily a poor one: many extraordinary things come from what is first-order negative and second-order positive.
Last stated 10 years ago
12 Apr 2016
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2016-04-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it
Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition
Last stated 2 years ago
6 Nov 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good.
Last stated 12 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Daniel Kahneman
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
You need to build early with AI to have any intuition for when the models become capable.
Last stated 10 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Mike Krieger
Similar wording
Forming an impression very quickly leads to spending the time confirming it rather than collecting evidence, so a wrong first impression is unlikely to be corrected.
Last stated 12 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Daniel Kahneman
Similar wording
It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times
Last stated c. 1994
Holds Charlie Munger
Similar wording
People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be.
Last stated 30 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Tara Seshan
Similar wording
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Last stated 7 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Max Hodak
Similar wording
Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut.
Last stated 9 Aug 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gary Klein
Similar wording
Designers run through a set of subconscious rules, so product design judgement can be codified to some extent, and that is worth reaching for.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Nev Flynn
Similar wording
Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong.
Last stated 12 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Daniel Kahneman
Same subject: patience
A ban on AI would be short-sighted, giving up on the problem too early.
Last stated 25 May 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Nabeel S. Qureshi
Same subject: patience
A basic rule for better decisions is to slow down, especially when there is an immediate conviction.
Last stated 12 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Daniel Kahneman
Same subject: patience
A choice with no immediate payoff is not necessarily a poor one: many extraordinary things come from what is first-order negative and second-order positive.
Last stated 12 Apr 2016 · 10 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Same subject: attitude change
Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition
Last stated 6 Nov 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: attitude change
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 12 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Paul Ford
Same subject: attitude change
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Last stated 1 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Alice Evans
Same subject: motivation
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Last stated 10 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Cate Hall
Same subject: motivation
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Last stated 19 Jun 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Aravind Srinivas
Same subject: motivation
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
Last stated c. 1651
Holds Thomas Hobbes