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17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 6 Nov 2015 to 18 Sept 2026.
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Read this korrent: Conventional wisdom assumes things are the way they are for a good reason, and history repeatedly proves status quo dogma wrong.
Conventional wisdom assumes things are the way they are for a good reason, and history repeatedly proves status quo dogma wrong.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Conventional wisdom lags behind reality, so someone who looks at the present directly can act on information others have not yet been given permission to act on. — tap to centre the map on it
Conventional wisdom lags behind reality, so someone who looks at the present directly can act on information others have not yet been given permission to act on.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If a chain of reasoning rests on a wrong inherited recipe, the conclusions built on top of it will be just as wrong. — tap to centre the map on it
If a chain of reasoning rests on a wrong inherited recipe, the conclusions built on top of it will be just as wrong.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Dogma, unlike first-principles reasoning, is not customized to the believer or meant to be critiqued and adjusted as things change. — tap to centre the map on it
Dogma, unlike first-principles reasoning, is not customized to the believer or meant to be critiqued and adjusted as things change.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The single most valuable thing a founder can find is a belief they can hold with reason that the conventional wisdom says is wrong. — tap to centre the map on it
The single most valuable thing a founder can find is a belief they can hold with reason that the conventional wisdom says is wrong.
Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to assume their habitual practices achieve what they intend, even without evidence that they do. — tap to centre the map on it
People tend to assume their habitual practices achieve what they intend, even without evidence that they do.
Last stated 4 months ago
22 Jun 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-06-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy. — tap to centre the map on it
Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
17 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A movement that has decided its job is to save humanity is uniquely prone to hubris, dogma and motivated reasoning. — tap to centre the map on it
A movement that has decided its job is to save humanity is uniquely prone to hubris, dogma and motivated reasoning.
Last stated 3 years ago
21 Dec 2023
MJ
Matt Johnson — holds since 2023-12-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve. — tap to centre the map on it
Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 4 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 3 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. — tap to centre the map on it
A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it
A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new. — tap to centre the map on it
A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new.
Last stated a month ago
4 Sept 2026
MW
Matt Webb — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it
A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
RS
Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. — tap to centre the map on it
AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement.
Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever. — tap to centre the map on it
AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever.
Last stated 6 months ago
10 Apr 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Conventional wisdom assumes things are the way they are for a good reason, and history repeatedly proves status quo dogma wrong.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Conventional wisdom lags behind reality, so someone who looks at the present directly can act on information others have not yet been given permission to act on.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban
Similar wording
If a chain of reasoning rests on a wrong inherited recipe, the conclusions built on top of it will be just as wrong.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban
Similar wording
Dogma, unlike first-principles reasoning, is not customized to the believer or meant to be critiqued and adjusted as things change.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban
Similar wording
The single most valuable thing a founder can find is a belief they can hold with reason that the conventional wisdom says is wrong.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
People tend to assume their habitual practices achieve what they intend, even without evidence that they do.
Last stated 22 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Henrik Karlsson
Similar wording
Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Matthew Yglesias
Similar wording
A movement that has decided its job is to save humanity is uniquely prone to hubris, dogma and motivated reasoning.
Last stated 21 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Matt Johnson
Similar wording
Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve.
Last stated 22 Apr 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Sean Carroll
Same subject: innovation
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 25 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Anton Howes
Same subject: innovation
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 2 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Justin Jackson
Same subject: innovation
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 21 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Ruxandra Teslo
Same subject: creativity
A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban
Same subject: creativity
A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Cory Doctorow
Same subject: creativity
A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new.
Last stated 4 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Matt Webb
Same subject: LLMs
A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Robin Sloan
Same subject: LLMs
AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement.
Last stated 24 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Same subject: LLMs
AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever.
Last stated 10 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Sam Altman