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A giving approach that ranks options only by estimated expected value, with no preference for better-grounded estimates, is flawed.
Drawn from what Holden Karnofsky said
What Holden Karnofsky actually said
- Holden Karnofsky Co-founder of GiveWell
I feel that any giving approach that relies only on estimated expected-value – and does not incorporate preferences for better-grounded estimates over shakier estimates – is flawed.
Where this was said
↗Why we can’t take expected value estimates literally (even when they’re unbiased)blog.givewell.org
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Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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