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Timothy B. Lee

@timothy-b-lee · 8 positions · 0 changes of mind

Journalist with a computer science master's degree who has written for the Washington Post and Ars Technica and now publishes Understanding AI. He reads self-driving crash reports one by one and has been putting dated, quantitative judgements about Waymo and Tesla on the record since 2023.

Timothy B. Lee did not write this page.

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  1. I wish Tensor the best, but I think this is going to be a hard sell.

    Why it might not make sense for you to own a self-driving carunderstandingai.org

    self-driving cars

  2. 10 months earlier
  3. These videos exceeded my expectations. Tesla’s robotaxi rollout wasn’t perfect, but it went as well as anyone could have expected.

    What I learned watching 78 videos from Tesla's Austin robotaxisunderstandingai.org 1st of 2 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  4. But I don’t think Tesla’s accomplishments over the last two weeks—impressive as they are—mean that Tesla is ready to quickly scale up its service.

    What I learned watching 78 videos from Tesla's Austin robotaxisunderstandingai.org 2nd of 2 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  5. 3 months earlier
  6. Even if we assume all three of these crashes were Waymo’s fault, that would still mean that a large majority of the 38 serious crashes were not Waymo’s fault.

    After 50 million miles, Waymos crash a lot less than human driversunderstandingai.org

    self-driving cars

  7. 10 months earlier
  8. So Tesla hasn’t found a different, better way to bring driverless technology to market. Waymo is just so far ahead that it’s dealing with challenges Tesla hasn’t started thinking about.

    On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkersunderstandingai.org 1st of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  9. But while access to more data is certainly helpful, it’s not a magic bullet. One issue is that the data Tesla collects is unlabeled.

    On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkersunderstandingai.org 2nd of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  10. If Waymo vehicles were constantly asking for remote guidance, Waymo might need to hire so many remote operators that it negates the cost savings that come from not needing a driver.

    On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkersunderstandingai.org 3rd of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  11. 9 months earlier
  12. But the evidence for better-than-human performance is starting to pile up, especially for Waymo.

    Driverless cars may already be safer than human driversunderstandingai.org

    self-driving cars