What Sarah Paine thinks about Russia
Historian of maritime and continental empires who taught strategy at the U.S. Naval War College for twenty-four years.
Sarah Paine did not write this page.
We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.
6 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Sarah Paine has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Their wordsAnd Russia's never had a commerce-driven economy. China much more so under Deng Xiaoping, but recently Xi Jinping has been privileging the crony sector over the private sector and neither one has stable government institutions.
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 2nd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo, China and Russia certainly have maritime ambitions, but I'm not clear they actually understand what goes into a full maritime paradigm.
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsYou set them up to fail, you destabilize the rising, you ingest the failing, and you set up buffer zones in between, and you await the opportune moment to pounce and absorb. This is Vladimir Putin's game.
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 9th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsOne, you're surrounding yourself by failing states. You can look at Russia and China and they're surrounded by some of the most dysfunctional places on the planet and you go, "Gee whiz, are they unlucky or they complicit?"
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 10th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd it turns out that there's been a tendency over the course of China's and Russia's long histories to overextend and this helps account for the implosions of various empires and dynasties.
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 11th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsIt was a miracle of your lifetimes. It lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. The problem for the likes of Putin is that this wealth producing trade was not happening at his house, but the houses of those vested in the trading order, not in extortion.
↗Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 19th of 26 in this recording