What Samuel Hammond thinks about AI and science

@samuel-hammond · 23 positions · On ppll ↗

Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation; writes Second Best, and was the Niskanen Center's director of social policy before that.

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Only Samuel Hammond on AI and science. See everyone on AI and science

1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Samuel Hammond has said — not written or endorsed by them.

1 position so far — this page is not yet offered to search engines.

1. 18 Feb 2026

   Our readingForecasting AI capability progress is more like solving a thermodynamics equation than predicting chaotic, short-term dynamics.

   Their wordsForecasting AI capabilities is closer in kind to solving a thermodynamics equation than solving the three-body problem.

   ↗Empiricists vs. Extrapolatorssecondbest.ca 3rd of 3 in this piece