korrents

What Ryan Greenblatt thinks about recursive self-improvement

@ryan-greenblatt · 26 positions · 0 changes of mind

Chief scientist at Redwood Research, where he works on technical AI safety and AI control.

Ryan Greenblatt did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

2 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Ryan Greenblatt has said — not written or endorsed by them.

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  1. Our readingOnce AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress.

    Their wordsMaybe my sort of median expectation is something like uh four or five years of AI progress in a single year.

    ↗Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 1st of 26 in this recording

    Interesting

  3. Our readingAI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033.

    Their wordsI would say that I expect like full automation of AR&D perhaps somewhere around like 2031 2030 and then getting to like the like beats all humans on the job milestone. Maybe I expect median around 2033

    ↗Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 2nd of 26 in this recording

    Interesting