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Robert Wachter

What Robert Wachter thinks about AI and jobs

@robert-wachter · 18 positions · On ppll ↗

Professor and chair of the Department of Medicine at UCSF who writes about patient safety, hospital medicine and technology in healthcare. Author of A Giant Leap (2026). Writes Pattern Recognition, a newsletter on healthcare AI.

Robert Wachter did not write this page.

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Only Robert Wachter on AI and jobs. See everyone on AI and jobs

5 dated positions, 2025 to 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Robert Wachter has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Our readingAI's diagnostic performance on curated facts does not prove it can replace doctors who are experts at creating problem representations.

    Their wordsAll of this means that AI's diagnostic performance on a curated set of clinical facts should not be taken as compelling evidence that "Dr. AI" can replace actual doctors, who are experts in creating correct and useful problem representations.

    ↗Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  3. Our readingA healthcare system could exist where AI provides basic preventive and urgent care while humans provide more complex clinical and emotional care.

    Their wordsI can imagine a system in which basic preventive and urgent care is provided quite competently - and less expensively and more conveniently - by AI, whereas more complex care, both clinical and emotional, is provided by humans.

    ↗Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  4. 8 months earlier

  5. Our readingAI will lead to the loss of hundreds of thousands of healthcare jobs, but few will be among physicians, allied health professionals, and nurses in the next decade.

    Their wordsMy prediction is that AI will lead to the loss of hundreds of thousands of healthcare jobs, but few of these will be among physicians, allied health professionals (AHPs), and nurses, at least in the next decade.

    ↗Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  7. Our readingThe displacement of human workers performing non-client-facing work is likely to be mirrored in every knowledge-based field.

    Their wordsThe displacement of human workers performing non-client-facing work - particularly entry-level workers - seems certain to be mirrored in every knowledge-based field, such as accounting, consulting, law, and software development.

    ↗Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  9. Our readingAI is more likely to assist nurses in performing their jobs more effectively than to replace those jobs entirely for the foreseeable future.

    robotics

    Their wordsFor the foreseeable future, it's more likely that AI and robots will assist nurses in performing their jobs more effectively - enabling them to practice closer to the top of their license - than replace those jobs entirely.

    ↗Robert Wachterrobertwachter.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece