What Ramez Naam thinks about scaling laws
Author and clean-energy investor who has been publishing dated forecasts of solar, wind, battery and electric-vehicle costs since 2011, and publishing the corrections when they came in low.
Ramez Naam did not write this page.
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1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Ramez Naam has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Their wordsGiven our best current data, the AI self-improvement loop would need to be roughly 5–10× stronger to sustain itself, let alone run away.