Who Philip Tetlock cites
Lines where Philip Tetlock quotes or credits someone, and where others do the same for them. Every line is in their own words, with the page it is on.
Cites
Daniel Kahneman
Credits
For us, we're finding more evidence for the value of thoughtful system two overrides, to use Danny Kahneman's terminology.
How to Win at Forecasting (Edge conversation) · 6 Dec 2012
Karl Popper
Builds on our reading
An important part of this forecasting tournament is moving from interesting issues to testable propositions and this is an area where we discover very quickly where people don't think the way that Karl Popper thought they should think–like falsificationists. We don't naturally look for evidence that could falsify our hunches, and passing the Clairvoyance Test requires doing that.
How to Win at Forecasting (Edge conversation) · 6 Dec 2012
Cited by
Stephan Guyenet
Credits
The work of Philip Tetlock, PhD and others has shown that people who have one big idea to explain everything (“hedgehogs” or ideologues) are very bad at accurately modeling the world, predicting outcomes, and recommending effective actions.
Quickly assessing the credibility of public experts · 30 Aug 2018 · The korrent