korrents

What Demis Hassabis thinks about AGI

@demis-hassabis · 24 positions · 0 changes of mind

Co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind, and a 2024 Nobel laureate in Chemistry for the protein-structure work behind AlphaFold.

Demis Hassabis did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

5 dated positions, 2025, in their own words. Our reading of what Demis Hassabis has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Our readingThere is a coin-flip chance that AGI arrives by 2030.

    Their wordsMy estimate is sort of 50% chance by in the next five years, so by 2030 let's say. So I think there's a good chance that that could happen.

    ↗Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

  3. Our readingThe real test of AGI is handing the system to a few hundred of the world's top experts and finding that none of them can locate an obvious flaw.

    Their wordsAnd maybe also make the system available to a few hundred of the world's top experts, the Terence Taos of each subject area and give them a month or two and see if they can find an obvious flaw in the system. And if they can't, then I think you can be pretty confident we have a fully general system.

    ↗Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 8th of 20 in this recording

  5. Our readingScaling what we already have, with no further breakthroughs, will be enough to reach AGI.

    Their wordsAnd so we don't know, I would say it's kind of 50/50 whether new things are needed or whether the scaling the existing stuff is going to be enough.

    ↗Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

  7. Our readingAI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.

    Their wordsAnd the thing that's going to be harder to deal with this time around is that I think what we're going to see is something like probably 10 times the impact the Industrial Revolution had, but 10 times faster as well. So instead of a 100 years, it takes 10 years and so that's going to make, it's like a 100X, the impact and the speed combined.

    ↗Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 16th of 20 in this recording

  9. Our readingThe last steps to AGI should be taken by a CERN-style international research project, not a Manhattan Project.

    Their wordsI hope we'll end up with something more collaborative if needed, more like a CERN project where it's research-focused and the best minds in the world come together to carefully complete the final steps and make sure it's responsibly done before deploying it to the world.

    ↗Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 18th of 20 in this recording