What David Crawshaw thinks about scaling laws

@david-crawshaw · 19 positions · On ppll ↗

Software engineer; co-founder and former CTO of Tailscale, previously on the Go team at Google.

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Only David Crawshaw on scaling laws. See everyone on scaling laws

1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what David Crawshaw has said — not written or endorsed by them.

1 position so far — this page is not yet offered to search engines.

1. 8 Feb 2026

   Our readingLocal AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.

   Their wordsAt some point frontier models will face diminishing returns, local models will catch up, and we will be done being beholden to frontier models.

   ↗Eight more months of agentscrawshaw.io 1st of 3 in this piece