Read the piece on theclimatebrink.com ↗
Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.
Our reading
Strong agreement among forecast models does not by itself mean those models are skillful.
Their wordsModel agreement this strong is unusual, though I'd note that agreement is not the same thing as skill as I discuss later on.
Our reading
El Niño events typically peak near the end of the calendar year, between November and January.
Their wordsEl Niño almost always peaks near the end of the calendar year - typically between November and January, occasionally as early as October
Their wordsglobal temperature lags ENSO by around three to five months, most of this event's warming will land in 2027, which is now shaping up to be a genuinely alarming year and the warmest on record by a sizable margin.
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The other pieces are the ones whose claims are worded most like this one's. That measures language, not agreement: they may argue the opposite.