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I Wouldn't Start From Here

Roger Pielke Jr. · 25 Aug 2026

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Roger Pielke Jr. did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    The NCA5 mischaracterizes the RCP8.5 scenario as a likely outcome when it is actually an implausible and falsified scenario.

    Their wordsRCP8.5 was never a "worst case scenario" and its assumptions are not accurately characterized as "unlikely" but rather, the scenario is implausible and already falsified.

  2. Our reading

    The Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) is beyond fixing due to systemic and irreparable problems.

    Their wordsthe administration's proposed amendment to NCA5 cannot succeed, because NCA5's problems are systemic and irreparable. NCA5 is beyond fixing.

  3. Our reading

    The NCA5 fails to accurately represent the scientific literature by cherry-picking and misrepresenting data.

    Their wordsIn my areas of expertise the NCA5 failed to accurately represent the literature it was supposedly assessing, in favor of cherry picking and misrepresentations.

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