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Capital Cycles and AI

Doug O'Laughlin · 13 Jan 2025

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. A glut follows every semiconductor shortage.
  2. What prevents this from being a broad-based bubble is that we are missing a critical feedback loop from the announcement's impact, like network growth or land value.
  3. In today’s world, I think the increase in self-fulfilling asset prices will be due to power and data centers.

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