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Judith Curry · 2 Sept 2025

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  1. The combination of the DOE and Dessler report highlight areas of disagreement among climate scientists, and illustrates how weighting of different classes of evidence, addressing different topics, and different logical frameworks for linking evidence can lead to different conclusions.
  2. I also checked in with members of the ACRIM science team, they continue to support high solar variability. Hence, the high-level conclusion in the DOE Report "Moreover, solar activity's contribution to the late 20th century warming might be underestimated" is justified.
  3. The combination of high amplitude natural variability plus short and inhomogeneous data sets imply low confidence in the detection and attribution of any trends.

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