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The contagion of fear

Bryan Cantrill · 13 Sept 2026

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  1. I have never seen fear sown so irresponsibly by putative technologists as I have now with respect to AI and the threat of human extinction (!). Amazingly, that is not hyperbole: this week, ex-Anthropic employee Jacob Coxon claimed - and then Anthropic Alignment Science lead Evan Hubinger agreed - that the probability that AI will "kill all humans" is ">10% in the next decade" (!!).
  2. Those who are resolute in their fear like to gloss over these bits ("robots will do this!"), but to do so is to ignore the physical reality that robots cannot do this today - and do not seem to be doing so on a time horizon consistent with these extinction fears.
  3. More generally, to the degree that digital systems have agency in the physical world, it is agency that we - we humans with arms and legs and brains and parents and children - permit: AI executes on physical systems that have been engineered with human accountability and control.

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