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Our reading
Mental modelS-curves and diminishing returns
Their wordsall of our scaling laws show that you need exponential compute and resources to make linear improvements in intelligence.
Their wordsRSI is poised to make modern LLMs vastly cheaper. Trends that have shown LLMs get exponentially cheaper at a given intelligence are likely to accelerate.
Their wordslossy self-improvement remains my baseline on the trajectory of progress, and the increased discussion of extinction risk seems very misplaced
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