korrents

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On being wrong about AI

Scott Aaronson · 13 Dec 2023 · scottaaronson.blog

3 korrents from this piece · 3 of them a turn

Scott Aaronson did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. I was wrong, of course, not to contemplate more seriously the prospect that AI might enter a civilization-altering trajectory, not merely eventually but within the next decade.
    Once I saw the empirical case that a generative AI revolution was imminent—sometime during the pandemic—I updated, hard.
  2. I accepted what’s turned into a two-year position at OpenAI, thinking about what theoretical computer science can do for AI safety.
    one must never use radical ignorance as an excuse to default, in practice, to the guess that everything will stay basically the same.
  3. I was wrong, of course, not to contemplate more seriously the prospect that AI might enter a civilization-altering trajectory, not merely eventually but within the next decade.
    Once I saw the empirical case that a generative AI revolution was imminent—sometime during the pandemic—I updated, hard.