korrents

← People and their mental models

François Chollet's mental models

2 claims François Chollet made fit 2 mental models. Most often: Collective action problems, S-curves and diminishing returns. Everything they said here.

Models they name

Their own words name the idea.

S-curves and diminishing returns

Most growth slows as it matures; the question is whether the curve is flattening or something new is restocking it.

Used by 22 others

The LLM line of research will reach a capability plateau.

  1. François Chollet Creator of the Keras deep-learning library and the ARC-AGI benchmark In the era of base LLM scaling (2022-2024), I believed the LLM line of research would reach a capability plateau (as later seen with base LLMs). In late 2024, after the o3 test-time compute demo, I changed my views: the new models were showing genuine fluid intelligence, and with this new line of work, the LLM line of research could achieve unbounded capability scaling. "There will be no wall." @fchollet on Xx.com · 7 Aug 2026

    Recalls holdingIn the era of base LLM scaling (2022-2024), I believed the LLM line of research would reach a capability plateau (as later seen with base LLMs). In late 2024, after the o3 test-time compute demo, I changed my views: the new models were showing genuine fluid intelligence, and with this new line of work, the LLM line of research could achieve unbounded capability scaling. "There will be no wall."

    ↗@fchollet on Xx.com

    7 Aug 2026

Models we see in what they say

Our reading: their claim applies the idea without naming it. The claim is theirs; filing it here is ours.

Collective action problems

What everyone would gain from, nobody provides alone, so shared goods need someone or something to hold people together.

Used by 18 others

If AI has a high chance of causing human extinction within years or decades, the only rational stance on safety monitoring and research pacing is stringent top-down government involvement and universally ratified international treaties.

  1. François Chollet Creator of the Keras deep-learning library and the ARC-AGI benchmark If there really is a high chance of AI leading to the extinction of humanity within years/decades, then the only rational stance towards safety monitoring and research pacing should be stringent, top-down government involvement and universally ratified international treaties. @fchollet on Xx.com · 13 Sept 2026
    Their wordsIf there really is a high chance of AI leading to the extinction of humanity within years/decades, then the only rational stance towards safety monitoring and research pacing should be stringent, top-down government involvement and universally ratified international treaties.

    ↗@fchollet on Xx.com

    13 Sept 2026