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← People and their mental models

Daniel Herriges's mental models

3 claims Daniel Herriges made fit 2 mental models. Most often: Second-order thinking, Bottlenecks. Everything they said here.

Models we see in what they say

Our reading: their claim applies the idea without naming it. The claim is theirs; filing it here is ours.

Second-order thinking

Ask "and then what?": follow a decision past its first effect to the ones that come after.

Used by 86 others

Building a lot of housing in an expensive city will not lower rents there; it lowers them in the cheaper places that were absorbing its spillover demand.

  1. Daniel Herriges Urban planner, co-author with Charles Marohn of Escaping… In fact — and this is a point that is, in my opinion, underappreciated by the pro-housing side — building a bunch of housing in Santa Monica would probably not lower rents in Santa Monica. It would bring more people to Santa Monica, creating lower rents elsewhere in Greater Los Angeles as the spillovers from Santa Monica lessened. Shortages and Spillovers: How People Misunderstand the Housing Crisisstrongtowns.org · 29 May 2024All korrents from this piece
    In fact — and this is a point that is, in my opinion, underappreciated by the pro-housing side — building a bunch of housing in Santa Monica would probably not lower rents in Santa Monica. It would bring more people to Santa Monica, creating lower rents elsewhere in Greater Los Angeles as the spillovers from Santa Monica lessened.

Housing demand that a neighbourhood is not allowed to absorb does not disappear; it floods somewhere else, and that is what a housing shortage actually is.

  1. Daniel Herriges Urban planner, co-author with Charles Marohn of Escaping… So, when housing demand can’t be met in a given place, it doesn’t evaporate. It spills over. It goes somewhere. Shortages and Spillovers: How People Misunderstand the Housing Crisisstrongtowns.org · 29 May 2024All korrents from this piece
    So, when housing demand can’t be met in a given place, it doesn’t evaporate. It spills over. It goes somewhere.

Bottlenecks

A system moves only as fast as its narrowest point; speed up anything else and nothing changes.

Used by 88 others

The single biggest barrier in the housing market is that most neighbourhoods are legally forbidden to add any housing at all.

  1. Daniel Herriges Urban planner, co-author with Charles Marohn of Escaping… The biggest barrier of all, of course, is that the majority of neighborhoods are not allowed to add any housing at all. Shortages and Spillovers: How People Misunderstand the Housing Crisisstrongtowns.org · 29 May 2024All korrents from this piece
    The biggest barrier of all, of course, is that the majority of neighborhoods are not allowed to add any housing at all.