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← Uncertainty about how long a tariff will last, not the rate itself, is what stops anyone from building a factory.

17 connected korrents · 14 moments on record from 1 Jun 2022 to 7 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under tariffs tariffs Everything filed under America America Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under motivation motivation Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Uncertainty about how long a tariff will last, not the rate itself, is what stops anyone from building a factory. Uncertainty about how long a tariff willlast, not the rate itself, is what stopsanyone from building a factory. Last stated a year ago 6 Apr 2025 MH Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit inmanufactured goods reduces itsmanufacturing employment below whatit would be with balanced trade. Last stated today 7 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it Cutting off trade with tariffs wouldforce a huge interest-rate spike andprobably a debt crisis, because thebudget deficit would have to befinanced at home. Last stated a year ago 14 Apr 2025 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Rebuilding American manufacturing is a decades-long educational and cultural project, not something tariffs can do. — tap to centre the map on it Rebuilding American manufacturing isa decades-long educational andcultural project, not somethingtariffs can do. Last stated 8 months ago 25 Dec 2025 MH Molson Hart — holds since 2025-12-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Reducing trade deficits and reviving manufacturing would not end the resentment fueling right-wing authoritarian movements. — tap to centre the map on it Reducing trade deficits and revivingmanufacturing would not end theresentment fueling right-wingauthoritarian movements. Last stated today 7 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tariff revenue is real but far too small to make a dent in the American deficit. — tap to centre the map on it Tariff revenue is real but far toosmall to make a dent in the Americandeficit. Last stated 6 months ago 24 Feb 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-02-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tariffs are beside the point in the energy race with China; what is actually costing America is environmental regulation, and Texas is out-deploying California ten to one because of it. — tap to centre the map on it Tariffs are beside the point in theenergy race with China; what isactually costing America isenvironmental regulation, and Texasis out-deploying California ten toone because of it. Last stated a year ago 15 Aug 2025 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tariffs on Chinese clean energy reduce the total number of clean-energy jobs, because most of those jobs are in deployment rather than manufacturing. — tap to centre the map on it Tariffs on Chinese clean energyreduce the total number ofclean-energy jobs, because most ofthose jobs are in deployment ratherthan manufacturing. Last stated a year ago 15 May 2025 HR Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tariffs on imported components and machinery hurt the American manufacturers they are supposed to help. — tap to centre the map on it Tariffs on imported components andmachinery hurt the Americanmanufacturers they are supposed tohelp. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Feb 2026 MH Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are AV Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Automatic fiscal stabilizers give fiscal policy an advantage over monetary policy in stabilizing output because they act faster. — tap to centre the map on it Automatic fiscal stabilizers givefiscal policy an advantage overmonetary policy in stabilizingoutput because they act faster. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. — tap to centre the map on it During post-2008 fiscalconsolidation, the costs of highpublic debt were overestimated andfiscal multipliers wereunderestimated, understating theoutput costs of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against thefat tails it can imagine, notagainst the stress test itsregulator hands it. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 weeks ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Action comes before motivation: you do first and feel afterwards, not the other way round. — tap to centre the map on it Action comes before motivation: youdo first and feel afterwards, notthe other way round. Last stated 11 months ago 30 Sept 2025 LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-09-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is not a limited-time sale: the people furthest along are working harder than ever, and they need to stop harvesting dopamine as if it ends in two weeks. — tap to centre the map on it AI is not a limited-time sale: thepeople furthest along are workingharder than ever, and they need tostop harvesting dopamine as if itends in two weeks. Last stated 5 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI systems should be understood as something between airplanes and humans, since it can no longer be assumed they lack humanlike motivations. — tap to centre the map on it AI systems should be understood assomething between airplanes andhumans, since it can no longer beassumed they lack humanlikemotivations. Last stated 6 days ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Uncertainty about how long a tariff will last, not the rate itself, is what stops anyone from building a factory. Last stated 6 Apr 2025 · a year ago Holds Molson Hart Read this korrent →