The step change in AI coding in 2025 came from the harnesses and the tooling around the models, not from the models themselves.

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• The AI coding tools only recently became good enough to change the answer: after years of hating them, most of this codebase is now written by AI. NENeetCode24 Jun 2026similar wording
• The prediction that 90% of code will be AI-written by the end of 2025 deserves skepticism, though manual programming may yet become a horse: ridden for love, not transport. DHDavid Heinemeier Hansson12 Jul 2025similar wording
• Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before. AKAndrej Karpathy17 Oct 2025similar wording
• AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. JDJeff Dean30 Jul 2026similar wording
• AI tooling has done something no earlier technology managed: pulled directors, VPs and SVPs back into building things with their own hands at the weekend. AOAddy Osmani19 Aug 2026similar wording

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