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← Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 3 Oct 2012 to 19 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about scaling laws.

Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used. Model comparisons understate realprogress, because benchmark tables do notcontrol for how much test-time computeeach answer used. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Language models perform better on benchmark problems released before their training data cutoff, indicating data contamination inflates scores. — tap to centre the map on it Language models perform better onbenchmark problems released beforetheir training data cutoff,indicating data contaminationinflates scores. Last stated 2 years ago 13 May 2024 SR Sebastian Ruder — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-trainingand test-time scaling, the fourthscaling law is agentic: multiplyingAI by spawning agents, and the wholeloop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 7 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI scaling laws require exponentially more compute and resources to produce only linear gains in model intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it AI scaling laws requireexponentially more compute andresources to produce only lineargains in model intelligence. Last stated a month ago 19 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: As models keep scaling up, modularity will become essential to how they are developed. — tap to centre the map on it As models keep scaling up,modularity will become essential tohow they are developed. Last stated 4 years ago 23 Feb 2023 SR Sebastian Ruder — holds since 2023-02-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Bet on a system that is maximally learned and minimally constrained, and add structure only where it improves the scaling laws. — tap to centre the map on it Bet on a system that is maximallylearned and minimally constrained,and add structure only where itimproves the scaling laws. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current AI techniques are four to six orders of magnitude away from optimal in data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI techniques are four tosix orders of magnitude away fromoptimal in data efficiency andtest-time compute efficiency. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimisedby reinforcement learning until aneural network performs it extremelywell. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Nov 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial generalintelligence cannot exist withoutbeing recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago 10 Jun 2025 SH Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI research made no progress in its first six decades. — tap to centre the map on it AGI research made no progress in itsfirst six decades. Last stated 14 years ago 3 Oct 2012 DD David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics. — tap to centre the map on it An AI that cannot work out newphysics has not equalled humanintelligence, let alone surpassedit, because humans have worked outnew physics. Last stated 3 years ago 9 Nov 2023 EM Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used. Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago Holds Noam Brown Read this korrent →