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← Failing to foresee Trump’s 2024 win reflected personal preferences rather than social science.

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 28 Oct 2013 to 23 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under mental models mental models Everything filed under China China Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Failing to foresee Trump’s 2024 win reflected personal preferences rather than social science. Failing to foresee Trump’s 2024 winreflected personal preferences rather thansocial science. Last stated 2 years ago 14 Nov 2024 MP Murray Pittock — holds since 2024-11-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Those who think they can buy Trump misunderstand him: there is no ‘him’ there. — tap to centre the map on it Those who think they can buy Trumpmisunderstand him: there is no ‘him’there. Last stated 2 weeks ago 17 Oct 2026 AC Andrei Codrescu — holds since 2026-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is no future in Trump. — tap to centre the map on it There is no future in Trump. Last stated 10 years ago 23 Nov 2016 VH Vi Hart — holds since 2016-11-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is entirely possible to be both morally wrong and geopolitically weak at the same time. — tap to centre the map on it It is entirely possible to be bothmorally wrong and geopoliticallyweak at the same time. Last stated 2 months ago 30 Aug 2026 TS Timothy Snyder — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Trump says the polls are wrong not because he believes it but to set up narratives for claiming mass voter fraud on Election Day. — tap to centre the map on it Trump says the polls are wrong notbecause he believes it but to set upnarratives for claiming mass voterfraud on Election Day. Last stated 2 weeks ago 18 Oct 2026 GM G. Elliott Morris — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Trump's team of super-hawks seems to have kind of wrecked his second presidency. — tap to centre the map on it Trump's team of super-hawks seems tohave kind of wrecked his secondpresidency. Last stated a month ago 23 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The 2016 US election divide was really about old and young, not liberal and conservative. — tap to centre the map on it The 2016 US election divide wasreally about old and young, notliberal and conservative. Last stated 10 years ago 23 Nov 2016 VH Vi Hart — holds since 2016-11-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The 2022 presidential election did not resolve the major issues of the era. — tap to centre the map on it The 2022 presidential election didnot resolve the major issues of theera. Last stated 5 years ago 2 May 2022 JM Jean-Luc Mélenchon — holds since 2022-05-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Romney could have won if he had Trump's views on Social Security and Medicare. — tap to centre the map on it Romney could have won if he hadTrump's views on Social Security andMedicare. Last stated a week ago 23 Oct 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on diesel exports would raiseoverall fuel prices and damageAmerica's energy superpower status. Last stated a month ago 1 Oct 2026 AE Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports is more likely to raise prices than lower them. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports ismore likely to raise prices thanlower them. Last stated a month ago 23 Sept 2026 JM Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. — tap to centre the map on it A difficult problem is betterthought through both forwards andbackward than in one direction only. Last stated 13 years ago 28 Oct 2013 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works. — tap to centre the map on it A few dozen mental models are enoughto get a firm grasp of how the worldworks. Last stated 9 years ago by 12 Aug 2017 JC James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A map is not the territory it represents, but if it is correct it shares the territory's structure, which is what makes it useful. — tap to centre the map on it A map is not the territory itrepresents, but if it is correct itshares the territory's structure,which is what makes it useful. AK Alfred Korzybski — holds since c. 1933 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first missionis to keep the regime in power, notto defend the border — which is whatthe People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 5 months ago 9 Jun 2026 SP Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its ownindustrial strategy and call thesame policy cheating when China doesit. Last stated a year ago 15 May 2025 HR Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2013 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre Failing to foresee Trump’s 2024 win reflected personal preferences rather than social science. Last stated 14 Nov 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Murray Pittock Read this korrent →