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By the end of this decade the ceiling on AI compute is set by ASML, the lowest rung of the supply chain, and not by anything above it.

Drawn from what Dylan Patel said

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semiconductors The chips and the companies that make them: NVIDIA, TSMC, ASML, and what a fab can and cannot do.

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What Dylan Patel actually said

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  1. Dylan Patel

    Founder and chief executive of SemiAnalysis

    So to scale compute further right there's some different bottlenecks this year next year uh but ultimately by 2829 the bottleneck falls to the lowest rung on the supply chain which is ASML right ASML makes the world's most complicated machine i.e. an EUV tool.

Added to korrents 13 Mar 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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