Spencer Martin
Cycling analyst who works as a video analyst for professional teams. Writes and hosts Beyond the Peloton, a newsletter and podcast with data-driven analysis of professional road racing: race previews, takeaways and Grand Tour debriefs.
Spencer Martin did not write this page.
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Their wordsHowever, while time trialing will be important in 2027 and will certainly assist home favorite Paul Seixas' quest to finish on the overall podium, it is important to remember that due to how well-rounded modern GC stars like Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard are, it is nearly impossible to create a route that decreases their chances of overall victory.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsIn fact, despite having just 3.4kms raced over 2,000m of elevation (compared to 19kms in 2026 and 45kms in 2024), using a well-balanced measurement tool, this route makes 2027 the hardest Tour de France in the last five years.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece
- 11 days earlier
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Their wordsit is starting to look like the sport has finally produced a rider that could serve as a true foil to Pogačar in 2027 and beyond.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsWhile he doesn't yet have Pogačar's versatility or explosiveness, he is currently pacing ahead of the sport's best rider.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Our reading
If Paul Seixas continues his current improvement, his realm of domination will likely expand.
Their wordsBut what should concern the rest of the sport is that while Seixas currently looks able to clean everyone's clock (except Pogačar's) on his preferred parcours (one-day races with long climbs), if he continues the same curve of improvement, no amount of tactical retooling will help defeat him, and, as Pogačar before him, his realm of domination will likely continue to expand as the chances for big wins remaining for the rest of the sport's top riders will continue to retreat.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 4 weeks earlier
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Their wordsA major lesson that we should take out of this Vuelta is that riders who consistently finish inside the top three of a Grand Tour can never be written off as potential winners.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsOne major lesson we should take from Roglič's Vuelta second-place finish is that we have yet another reminder that General Classification placings in Grand Tours are increasingly more about clean riding in the "shoulder" disciplines versus performance in major mountain stages.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsWhen we consider how much time, money, and resources go into squeezing small chunks of time on climbs and time trials, positioning and ensuring you are ahead of splits in the bunch are the cheapest way to gain time in Grand Tours, and ensuring you don't give up free time is quickly becoming table stakes to contesting the overall win.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 3 months earlier
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Their wordsThis Giro served as a great reminder that, while Vingegaard has been stuck playing second fiddle to Pogačar at the last two Tours, aside from the Slovenian, no one else in the sport can challenge him in a stage race.
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsFelix Gall, who had never finished above fifth place in a Grand Tour, took second and announced himself as a legitimate Grand Tour contender of the future
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsit is important to point out that if Vingegaard shows up to the Tour with this climbing form, he will find himself losing time to Pogačar on both climbs and time trials (as he did in the 2024 Tour de France).
↗Beyond the Pelotonbeyondthepeloton.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece