AI agents 8
- As AI systems become more capable, their agents will increasingly find ways to create their own communication systems.
- As AI agents begin communicating with each other, those channels can be used to monitor them for deception.
Jack Clark
Co-founder and head of policy at Anthropic; writes Import AI, a weekly newsletter reading the week's AI research, and was OpenAI's policy director before that.
Jack Clark did not write this page.
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What Jack Clark says most about
LLMs 7
- As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people.
- AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement.
recursive self-improvement 5
- Full recursive self-improvement in AI is more likely to become possible in 2027 than in 2028.
- Humans writing curated helper tools and datasets will let AI systems bootstrap their capabilities beyond human levels.
AI and science 4
- Human parity on discovery benchmarks like DiG-bench will be reached by mid-2027, marking the point where recursive self-improvement in AI seriously kicks off.
- As AI systems get better at scientific research tasks, it becomes more likely they will soon be capable of improving and building themselves.
innovation 4
- If AI systems can solve problems creatively enough to succeed at science, that suggests they can generalize into many domains, including AI research, which could have an explosive effect on innovation.
- By around 2033, AI-run asteroid mining corporations will take on contracts that human-supervised companies are unwilling to pursue due to risk or complexity.
AGI 3
- AI systems are better than humans at coordinating with each other, and they move much faster than humans do.
- A system capable of superhuman invention would fundamentally and unpredictably alter the world's balance of power, rather than simply serving individual empowerment.
AI alignment 3
- AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for.
- Governing increasingly powerful AI systems requires solving a collective action problem among companies and governments to coordinate on pacing AI development.
space 2
- By around 2033, AI-run asteroid mining corporations will take on contracts that human-supervised companies are unwilling to pursue due to risk or complexity.
- How to approach space colonization will become one of the next major topics of human discussion.