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David Spiegelhalter

What David Spiegelhalter thinks about surgical outcomes

@david-spiegelhalter · 5 positions · On ppll ↗

Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge, former president of the Royal Statistical Society, and author of The Art of Statistics.

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5 dated positions, 2004, in their own words. Our reading of what David Spiegelhalter has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Measurement of outcomes from medical or surgical interventions is part of good practice, but publication of individual doctors' results remains controversial.

    ↗The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results (with 5 co-authors)doi.org All 5 from this paper

  2. The administration believes the performance of a surgeon cannot be separated from that of his or her institution as quality is highly dependent on institutional systems.

    ↗The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results (with 5 co-authors)doi.org All 5 from this paper

  3. Because of this casemix influence it would not be sensible to publish unadjusted mortality by surgeon.

    ↗The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results (with 5 co-authors)doi.org All 5 from this paper

  4. The use of a single risk adjusted number to summarise a surgeon's results runs the risk of lending a level of spurious credibility to an analysis that does not take into account the impact of influences that are not patient related.

    ↗The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results (with 5 co-authors)doi.org All 5 from this paper

  5. No conclusions can be drawn until a full review has taken place. This sort of data cannot contribute to patient choice.

    ↗The legacy of Bristol: public disclosure of individual surgeons' results (with 5 co-authors)doi.org All 5 from this paper