On Making an impossibly accurate prediction on robocars, and why Elon Musk keeps failing with his predictions

Brad Templeton · 26 May 2026

Brad Templeton did not write this page.

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Our reading
Robotaxis reached London within days of a date predicted for them thirteen years earlier, while most other public forecasts of that date were badly wrong.

Their words13 years ago, at the Wired 2013 event in London, I was asked when robotaxis would arrive there and as a joke, gave an answer of June 22, 2026 that turned out to be impossibly spot on.

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