Model capabilities and four minute mile

Sriram Krishnan · 26 Mar 2026

Sriram Krishnan did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

Our reading
Frontier AI model capabilities stay tightly clustered together rather than any single model holding a decisive, unassailable lead.

Their wordsfrontier model capabilities are always so clustered together as opposed to any one model having an unassailable edge.
Our reading
In most technology-driven industries, capability advantages are held for longer and are harder to fast-follow than is the case with AI models.

Their wordsThis is not the case with many other technology driven industries where capability or advancements often tend to be longer held and a fast-follow model is harder.

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